EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2022-08-01
Management highlights
Management Statement and Operational Highlights
- Financial Results: At constant currencies, revenue growth was 13%, adjusted operating profit growth was 16%, adjusted earnings per share growth was 14%. Interim dividend increased by 10%.
- Business Segments: All four business areas showed strong performance. Risk's digital identity solutions and recent acquisitions performing well. STM's primary research and Databases & Tools growing. Legal's electronic revenue and Lexis Plus uptake strong. Exhibitions rebounded with venue reopenings.
- Acquisitions and Buyback: Completed six acquisitions in H1 totaling £342 million, including BehavioSec, Flyreel, and Interfolio. Resumed share buyback, spending £300 million in H1.
- Cash Flow: EBITDA close to £1.5 billion. Cash conversion was over 100%, free cash flow was £889 million. Group CapEx was £192 million, equivalent to ~5% of revenue.
Segment performance
Segment Performance
- Risk: Underlying revenue growth was 7%, representing around 45% of divisional revenue. Digital identity solutions grew strongly, with ThreatMetrix and Emailage up ~20%. Recent acquisitions in financial crime compliance and behavioral biometrics are performing well.
- Insurance: Represents just under 40% of divisional total. Momentum improved in H1, with US auto market factors starting to improve.
- Specialized Industry Data Services: Represents just over 10% of divisional revenue. Saw strong growth overall, with strength in petrochemicals and aviation.
- Government: Represents just over 5% of divisional revenue. Strong growth driven by expansion of analytics and decision tools in state/local and federal markets.
- STM: Underlying revenue growth was 4%, underlying adjusted operating profit growth was 6%. Primary research articles grew, with ~40% growth in open access articles. Databases & Tools and Electronic Reference approaching 40% of divisional revenue.
- Legal: Underlying revenue growth improved to 4%, underlying adjusted operating profit growth was 6%. Electronic revenue (~90% of divisional total) grew, with strong uptake of Lexis Plus.
- Exhibitions: Revenue growth over 200% due to venue reopenings. Return to positive adjusted operating result with increased activity and lower cost structure.
Guidance
Guidance
- Risk: Expect strong underlying revenue growth in line with historical trends, adjusted operating profit growth broadly matching underlying revenue growth.
- STM: Expect underlying revenue growth to remain above historical trends, adjusted operating profit growth slightly exceeding underlying revenue growth.
- Legal: Expect underlying revenue growth to remain above historical trends, adjusted operating profit growth continuing to exceed underlying revenue growth.
- Exhibitions: Expect strong underlying revenue growth for the year, with operating result benefiting from the structurally lower cost base.
Risks
Risks
- Economic Downturn: Potential impact on Risk division if industries served slow down significantly, though solutions offer value per transaction, with muted impact due to reduced exposure to recession-sensitive segments.
- Inflation: Impact on cost base, but process innovation and tight cost control aim to keep cost growth below revenue growth.
- China Exhibitions: Uncertainty due to city-by-city variations, but staying flexible and running events when possible.
Q&A highlights
Question and Answer
Q: 4% organic revenue growth in STM and Legal, could this be the new normal?
A: Strategic objective is on improving trajectory, no one-offs, value of products driving growth.
Q: Impact of US recession on Risk division?
A: Industries served might slow, but solutions offer value, muted impact due to reduced exposure to recession-sensitive segments.
Q: Pricing impact from inflation?
A: No pricing impact in H1, strategy to drive value to customers, trajectory might change slightly with inflation.
Q: China exhibitions status?
A: Running events flexibly, one in Shenzhen in June, staying flexible.
Q: Exhibitions recovery vs peers?
A: Difficult to compare, focusing on reopening and digital opportunity, seeing good demand.
Q: Capital allocation in H2?
A: M&A ongoing, buyback continues, considering interest rates and debt.
Q: Interest costs and tax rate?
A: Interest costs to increase with rising rates, tax rate in H1 a reasonable starting point for full year.
Q: Exhibitions recovery numbers?
A: Reopening, but hard to compare to peers, focusing on what's seen.
Q: Risk growth in H2?
A: No reason to think growth rate different, coming off less challenging comp in H2.
Q: Cost growth in Risk?
A: Managed through process innovation, cost growth aimed to stay close to revenue growth.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | — | — | — | — |
| Revenue | — | — | — | — |
Transcript
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