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NCMI

National CineMedia, Inc.

National CineMedia, Inc. Q3 FY2025 earnings call

October 30, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2025-09

EPS · actual vs est

$0.02 / $-0.03Beat +156.6%

Revenue · actual vs est

$63.4M / $92.3MMiss -31.3%
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Summary

Generated 2025-10-30

Management highlights

  • Advertiser sentiment stabilized with demand rebounding in key categories like retail, automotive, etc. Q3 audience was 109 million, down 11% YOY but attendance improved in the back half of September. - Programmatic revenue was 4x YOY, self-serve revenue up 23% QOQ. - Local sales transformation ongoing with added talent and refined structure. - Platinum Spot had 89% ad recall in a tech campaign, 4DX had 85% ad recall in automotive. - Strong holiday slate ahead with Wicked, Avatar, Zootopia 2 driving advertiser demand.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

Total revenue for Q3 was $63.4 million, up 2% year-over-year. National advertising revenue was $49.9 million, up 6.6% from the prior year, driven by strong scatter demand and improved inventory utilization. Local and regional advertising revenue was $9.6 million, down from $11.4 million in the prior year. Programmatic revenue grew 82% sequentially, achieving the strongest Programmatic quarter ever. Platinum revenue was up 19% year-over-year, with revenue per attendee up 33% YOY. The 4DX format had about 85% ad recall in a recent automotive campaign. NCMX data platform enhances campaigns with data-driven targeting.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

For Q4, revenue is expected to be between $91 million and $98 million, and adjusted OIBDA between $30 million and $35 million. The fourth quarter has an additional week compared to the prior year, leading to expected total attendance growth outpacing industry trends but lower revenue per attendee due to mix.

View in transcript ↓

Risks

  • Macro-economic uncertainties could impact advertiser spending. - Fluctuations in box office performance and attendance may affect revenue. - Competition from other advertising platforms could impact market share.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Talk more about Programmatic and ad categories adopting it.

A: Programmatic revenue was 4x YOY, most clients are new, categories are varied, reaching new cinema advertisers.

Q: On EBITDA guidance and revenue growth, impact of AMC renewal?

A: Fourth quarter has an extra week with high attendance, leading to more dealer access fees and margin impact.

Q: Incremental attendance in extra week between Christmas and New Year, impact on ad value?

A: Fourth quarter is a high-attendance period, but demand softens after Christmas holiday despite more attendance.

Q: Trend of advertisers with new IP vs blockbusters?

A: Generally, people buy across movies, not avoiding new IP, with incremental buying for well-performing new IP.

Q: 2026 growth outlook, capital allocation, cost structure?

A: Momentum from Q3 to Q4 expected to continue, committed to dividend, opportunistic with buybacks, and looking at AI for efficiencies and lead generation.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.02$-0.03+156.6%
Revenue$63.4M$92.3M-31.3%

Transcript

October 30, 2025

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