Moelis & Company
Moelis & Company Q3 FY2025 earnings call
October 29, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2025-09
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-10-29
Management highlights
- Clients: Central to all activities, success tied to client success. - Culture: Collaborative team-based culture crucial for quality advice and talent retention. - Growth: Focus on hiring and developing talent in key sectors like technology, industrials, etc. - M&A: Driven by larger strategic and sponsor transactions, improved trade policy and regulatory environment supportive. - Capital Structure Advisory: Active in liability management, delivering out-of-court solutions, enhanced credit side coverage. - Capital Markets: Standout performer with year-to-date revenue doubling, leveraging risk-on environment for capital raising. - Private Capital Advisory: Key growth engine, with recent hires and growth in GP-led secondaries mandates.
Segment performance
Moelis & Company had adjusted revenue of $376 million for the third quarter and $1.05 billion for the first 9 months of 2025, up 34% and 37% respectively vs prior year. M&A: Benefited from larger strategic M&A and sponsor transactions, average M&A fee increased. Capital Structure Advisory: Engaged in liability management, leader in out-of-court solutions, enhanced credit side coverage diversified the business. Capital Markets: Year-to-date revenues more than double prior year, on pace for record year with enhanced public and private capital markets capabilities. Private Capital Advisory: Expected to be a key growth engine, with recent hires and growth in GP-led secondaries mandates.
Guidance
- Optimistic about continued improvement in transaction environment. - Near term, U.S. government shutdown could slow regulatory reviews, but expect continued acceleration in deal activity. - Believes in steadily improving multiyear M&A cycle.
Risks
- U.S. government shutdown could slow regulatory reviews potentially affecting deal closing timelines. - AI disruption potential impacting restructuring side, early days but disruption creates opportunities. - Private credit market idiosyncrasies with potential defaults, but no systemic concern as private credit growth is good for business.
Q&A highlights
Q: On restructuring and AI impact.
A: AI will have profound impact on economy, early days but disruption creates opportunities on restructuring side.
Q: Private credit defaults and M&A risk.
A: Private credit growth good for business, no systemic issue with private credit, big picture good for Moelis.
Q: M&A breadth and pace.
A: Larger deals driving now, seeing uptick in sponsor activity volume, broadening expected in 2026.
Q: Regulatory backdrop and antitrust dialogues.
A: More accommodative regulatory outlook enabling larger transactions, different regulatory schemes outside US.
Q: Moelis Australia gain and MD count.
A: $19.1 million gain from selling Moelis Australia shares, MD count up from 157 last year to 170, mix of internal promotes and external hiring.
Q: Restructuring outlook and sponsor exits.
A: CSA business down from record, sponsor activity broadening with engagement and dialogue high.
Q: Hiring activity in 2026.
A: Hiring continues, focus on PCA and key sectors, recruiting year-round.
Q: Fed comments and pipelines.
A: Fed comments not fundamentally changing outlook, broad-based pipeline strength across sectors including tech, health care, etc.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.68 | $0.57 | +19.3% | $0.22 |
| Revenue | $356.9M | $430.2M | -17.0% | $273.8M |
Transcript
October 29, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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