Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock
Kodiak AI, Inc. Common Stock Q4 FY2025 earnings call
March 10, 2026 · fiscal period ended 2025-12
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2026-03-10
Management highlights
Don discussed the long - term opportunity of physical AI with self - driving leading the transformation. 2025 was a monumental year with Q4 being the first full quarter as a public company and exceeding expectations. Progress in product, commercialization, and partnerships. Technical progress including use of AI coding tools, progress on hauling non - standard trailer types. Safety progress with autonomy readiness measure rising to 84% and work on safety case. Product pillar progress with real - world driverless operations with Atlas. Commercial pipeline progress in long - haul, defense, and industrial trucking verticals.
Segment performance
Q4 revenue was $1.1 million, representing 37% quarter - over - quarter growth. This was primarily driven by an increase in driver - as - a - service revenue generated by 100% quarter - over - quarter growth in customer - owned driverless trucks.
Guidance
For fiscal 2026, free cash flow is expected to be in the range of negative $160 to negative $170 million. For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, free cash flow is expected to be in the range of $-36 million to $-38 million.
Risks
Actual events or results could differ materially from forward - looking statements. Refer to SEC filings for important risks and other factors that may cause actual results to differ.
Q&A highlights
Q: What's the pathway towards long - haul launch this year and milestones related to autonomy readiness measure?
A: The safety case framework involves testing in simulation, real world, and test tracks to close claims. It's a process to close remaining claims in the safety case.
Q: Talk about near - term opportunities with Army or DOD regarding the rogue fires contract.
A: Excited about defense opportunities, relationships and opportunities expected to accelerate in 2026.
Q: Timeframe between getting to 100% and commercial launch for long - haul.
A: Getting to 100% means definitively ready to launch and can happen in parallel.
Q: Exit ARR rate on 20 live vehicles.
A: Exiting 2025 with approximately mid - single - digit millions of annualized recurring DAS revenue not factoring other revenues.
Q: Impact of oil prices and rig count decline on deployment schedule with Atlas.
A: Remain committed to 80 trucks on customer's fleet planning, timing aligned with customer's schedule.
Q: Potential for other industrial customer announcements.
A: Strong pipeline in Australia, Middle East, talking to several folks there.
Q: Bosch collaboration roadmap and cost savings.
A: No exclusivity, close collaboration, working on future generations to drive efficiencies.
Q: Concerns about increased capital intensity to get to 85% and beyond.
A: AI is accelerating progress, allowing capital - efficient development, and free cash flow expectations don't fundamentally expect significant increase.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.22 | $-0.18 | -23.8% | — |
| Revenue | $1.1M | $1.2M | -13.0% | — |
Transcript
March 10, 2026Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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