Harmony Gold Mining Co. Ltd.
Harmony Gold Mining Co. Ltd. Q2 FY2020 earnings call
February 11, 2020 · fiscal period ended 2019-12
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2020-02-11
Management highlights
- Safety: Had a very good first half with a fatality frequency injury rate of 0.07, the best in history. Focus on visible leadership, behavioral interventions, and critical controls. Progressing towards a proactive safety culture with learning from incidents, psychology of safety work, and leadership programs.
- Production: Gold production had an 8% drop in comparative quarters, but South African operations saw a 4% increase. Kusasalethu mine faced unexpected grade drop due to geological features and VCR mining, expected to recover by end of FY. Operating free cash flow margin rose 63% to 13% due to gold price increase.
- Strategy: Focus on acquiring quality assets, permit and fund Wafi-Golpu, increase margins from current operations, and evaluate organic growth opportunities. In FY '16-19, focused on stabilizing operations, acquiring Hidden Valley and Moab Khotsong, and aiming for 1.5 million ounces production.
Segment performance
Revenue for the 6 months ending December 2019 was ZAR 15 billion, an 11% increase due to a 19% rise in the gold price but offset by an 8% reduction in gold production. Cash operating costs went up 8%. Production profit increased by 21% to ZAR 4.1 billion. The operating free cash flow margin saw a 63% rise to 13%, driven by a 19% increase in the gold price. Kusasalethu mine experienced a grade drop due to geological features, but is expected to recover by the end of the financial year. South African operations had a 4% production increase despite a 4% grade drop, with other operations generally performing as planned.
Guidance
- Revised production guidance to 1.4 million ounces due to lower underground grade, with all-in sustaining costs between ZAR 600-610/kg.
- Focus on repaying debt and hedging to manage short-term volatility. Secured Wafi-Golpu permitting, with court stay order lifted allowing resumption of discussions with PNG government. Pursue organic growth and mergers/acquisitions, and complete Hidden Valley's access to Stage 6.
- Operating free cash flow sensitive to gold price; 5% increase in gold price could boost it by close to 30%.
Risks
- Load shedding: Impacted operations, causing production losses and momentum breaks. Continuous Stage 1/2 load shedding a problem as it requires cutting power usage, affecting high-cost mines and waste retreatment.
- Wafi-Golpu permitting: Previously delayed by court case, though resolved, uncertainty remains in the permitting process.
Q&A highlights
Q: About Mponeng and Target North, what's the status?
A: Peter Steenkamp says they continuously evaluate opportunities, won't specify Mponeng further, but Target North drilling has intersected reef, grades expected soon.
Q: Impact of load shedding on operations?
A: Peter Steenkamp mentions 80-90 kg of gold lost due to Stage 6 load shedding, continuous Stage 1/2 shedding cuts power usage, affecting production, and in discussions with Eskom to alleviate.
Q: When will Harmony be debt free and plans for acquisitions?
A: Frank Abbott says if gold price stays, debt free by end of next year at current production, and will leverage balance sheet for future acquisitions.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.20 | $0.25 | +377.9% | — |
| Revenue | $7.76B | $1.03B | +650.0% | — |
Transcript
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