EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-03-06
Management highlights
Management Statement and Operational Highlights
- Home Health: Focused on stabilizing Medicare fee-for-service admissions (44% in Q4), growing non-Medicare admissions (up 10.7% YOY), and increasing visits in payer innovation contracts (from 22% to 48% in Q4). Entering 2025 with new contracts, census grew 7.2% sequentially from January to February.
- Hospice: Executed strategies to grow census, gain operating leverage. Opened 6 de novo locations in 2024 (5 hospice, 1 home health), with 14 de novo projects in process. Sequential census growth continued in January and February 2025.
- Cost Structure: Closing/consolidating 5 home health and 2 hospice branches, outsourcing coding functions. Expected to improve 2025 adjusted EBITDA by ~$1 million and save $1.5 million in 2025.
Segment performance
Segment Performance
- Home Health: Fourth quarter revenue was $200.4 million, a 0.3% sequential decrease due to volume decline (0.5% in average daily census) from hurricane impacts. Medicare ADC improved sequentially to 20,818. Non-Medicare visits in payer innovation contracts grew from 22% in Q4 2023 to 48% in Q4 2024, with non-Medicare revenue per visit up 5.7% year over year. Adjusted EBITDA was $35.5 million, down $1.0 million sequentially.
- Hospice: Fourth quarter revenue was $57.8 million, a 9.9% sequential increase due to volume increase (3% in average daily census) and unit revenue improvement (6.9%). Adjusted EBITDA was $13.3 million, up $3.3 million sequentially. Exited 2024 with highest census since spin, with sequential growth in January and February 2025.
Guidance
Guidance
- 2025 net service revenue: $1.05B - $1.08B; adjusted EBITDA: $101M - $107M.
- Home Health: Assumes 4%-5% ADC growth, slows Medicare volume decline, revenue per patient day flat with 1% CMS Medicare pricing improvement offset by unfavorable mix.
- Hospice: Assumes 7%-8.5% ADC growth, unit revenue per patient day up 4%-5% due to hospice final rule and favorable cap liability development.
- Expected adjusted free cash flow: $47M - $58M in 2025, impacted by return to cash income tax payments.
Risks
Risks
- Impact of CMS payment adjustments on revenues.
- Wage inflation affecting cost structure.
- Uncertainty in payer mix optimization affecting revenue guidance.
Q&A highlights
Question and Answer
- Q: Thoughts on momentum carrying over into 2025 and fee-for-service share gain?
A: Barb mentioned hospice has case management model in place, admission departments built, and home health can now focus on full-service growth with census growth in Jan-Feb.
- Q: Visibility on payer innovation contracts and leverage to convert non-payer innovation?
A: Barbara noted ongoing discussions with regional plans on episodic contracts, payer innovation team continues to work on new opportunities.
- Q: Relation of payer innovation negotiations to 2025 guidance?
A: Ryan said guidance includes ~$19M - $21M revenue improvement from CMS rate rule and national agreement, no material incremental unit revenues from payer innovation in guide.
- Q: Breakdown of hospice revenue components (rate vs accruals)?
A: Ryan said hospice cap accrual benefit was ~$1.4M, normalizing shows consistent with Medicare rate increase.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | — | — | — | — |
| Revenue | — | — | — | — |
Transcript
March 6, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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Prior quarters
This page presents the stored structured earnings-call summary and deterministic earnings calendar values. How this is generated. For informational purposes only; not investment advice.