British American Tobacco p.l.c.
British American Tobacco p.l.c. Q4 FY2025 earnings call
February 12, 2026 · fiscal period ended 2025-12
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2026-02-12
Management highlights
- Added 4.7 million smokeless consumers, total now 34.1 million, mainly from Modern Oral. - Delivered 2025 group results at top end of guidance, driven by Combustibles and Velo. - New Categories revenue grew 7%, with Modern Oral up 48%. - U.S. returned to revenue and profit growth since 2022, gained 30 basis points of combustibles value share. - Premium innovation launches in New Categories, e.g., Velo Shift, Vuse Ultra, glo Hilo. - Progress in New Categories profitability, with category contribution improvement.
Segment performance
New Categories revenue grew by 7%, with Modern Oral up strongly by 48% and heated products up 1%, while Vapour declined nearly 9%. Combustible revenue grew 1%. In the U.S., Combustibles revenue increased 4.6%, New Category grew nearly 20%. AME revenue grew over 3%, New Category up 4.3%. APMEA revenue declined 7.2%.
Guidance
- Expect 2026 to be at lower end of midterm algorithm ranges: 3% to 5% revenue growth, 4% to 6% adjusted profit from operations growth, 5% to 8% adjusted diluted EPS growth. - Return to midterm algorithm in 2026 marks major milestone. - 2026 performance expected to be second half weighted due to New Category investment phasing and Fit2Win savings build.
Risks
- Vapour impacted by illicit pressures in U.S. and Canada. - APMEA faces fiscal and regulatory headwinds in Bangladesh and Australia. - Vapour revenue decline in AME due to lack of illicit enforcement and regulatory changes. - Australia's combustible market impacted by high illicit activity and regulatory issues.
Q&A highlights
Q: What are your expectations in terms of performance in the U.S. in fiscal '26 for Modern Oral specifically?
A: We believe Velo Plus is competitive, with high retention rate, low brand awareness, and potential for growth as consumption increases.
Q: Could you share factors that could result in the performance getting you to the middle or even upper half of the range in '26?
A: Less drag from APMEA, more effective enforcement in Vapour, and stronger performance in Heated Products with revamped offers.
Q: How do you think about share progressing through 2026 in heated tobacco, especially with intensifying competition?
A: Revamped glo Hyper and glo Hilo will strengthen position, with glo Hilo showing early positive momentum.
Q: What percentage of your U.S. volume portfolio is benefiting from excise duty drawback?
A: Not disclosing specific percentage, but revenue in Combustible would be positive independent of drawback.
Q: Is the tailwind from duty drawback going to be more or less in 2026?
A: It will be a peak, and we are focusing on strengthening New Categories outside Combustible
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $2.00 | $2.50 | -20.0% | — |
| Revenue | $18.22B | $17.83B | +2.2% | — |
Transcript
February 12, 2026Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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