EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2021-03-01
Management highlights
- Nurtec ODT was launched approximately one year ago, navigating challenges from the pandemic, with over 450,000 prescriptions and greater than 89% commercial coverage.
- Regulatory progress: Nurtec's submission in Europe was accepted for review by the European Medicines Agency (EMA), leveraging acute and prevention data from FDA filings. The US sNDA for prevention is in a positive mid-cycle review.
- Pipeline updates: Intranasal zavegepant is expected to have top-line data by year-end, with an oral version set to begin clinical testing; myeloperoxidase inhibitor Verdiperstat and glutamate modulator Troriluzole have Phase 3 study readouts planned; BioShin subsidiary aims to file a public offering in Hong Kong or Shanghai Exchange by year-end.
- Commercial performance: Nurtec's differentiated profile drives demand, with new-to-brand Rx market share almost evenly split between approved oral CGRP antagonists; strong prescriber and patient trial growth is observed, with Nurtec prescribers showing higher productivity in writing prescriptions.
Segment performance
Nurtec ODT achieved fourth quarter net revenues of approximately $35 million, representing a 98% increase from the third quarter. This strong performance was driven by robust prescription volumes, with Nurtec ODT contributing significantly to the company's revenue.
Guidance
- Management will not provide guidance regarding sales, spending, or earnings for 2021, but notes first quarter sales may be impacted by seasonality of patient deductibles and prescription re-authorizations.
- Expectations for multiple pivotal trial readouts over the next year and potential New Drug Applications (NDAs) in the coming years, including for prevention and other expanded indications.
Risks
- Impact of COVID-19 on access to physician offices, which affected RX volumes and could have influenced revenue.
- Regulatory review uncertainties for submissions in Europe and the US for various indications, including potential delays or questions from agencies.
Q&A highlights
Q: Charles Duncan asked about Nurtec's persistence and regulatory submissions for prevention and EMEA.
A: Vlad Coric responded that refill rates align with expectations based on migraine frequency, and the US sNDA for prevention is in a positive mid-cycle review. The European filing for dual-acting is based on US acute data.
Q: Paul Choi asked about regulatory review cycle and M&A filings.
A: Vlad Coric mentioned the EMA will review the European filing independently, with no specific timelines disclosed, and confidence in the package's independence from US reviews.
Q: Tyler Van Buren asked about Q1 trends and dual-acting messaging.
A: Vlad Coric and BJ Jones discussed seasonality impacts on Q1 sales and the disruptive messaging around unified migraine treatment with a single drug for both acute and prevention.
Q: Marc Goodman asked about spending and lifecycle extensions.
A: Jim Engelhart noted spending will continue to invest in the brand, and Vlad Coric discussed low-risk and high-risk lifecycle opportunities, including pediatric, post-traumatic headache, and non-migraine indications like psoriasis and asthma.
Q: Tim Lugo asked about European partners for Nurtec.
A: Vlad Coric mentioned considering regional and global partners for efficiency, balancing strengths of both types of partners to optimize market entry in Europe.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-3.62 | $-2.89 | -25.3% | — |
| Revenue | $35.1M | — | — | — |
Transcript
March 1, 2021Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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