EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-02-06
Management highlights
- Achieved all non-revenue targets for 2024, within revised revenue guidance despite pricing and media challenges. Consolidated EBITDA margin increased 1.2 points to 43.4%.
- Wireless: Positive service revenue growth, new postpaid customers on Bell brand. Broadband: Grew market share, 3 million residential Internet customers on FTTH, 10% increase in 2024. Media: Digital revenue grew 19%, digital now 42% of media revenue.
- Transformation agenda: Focus on customer experience, fiber-first strategy with Ziply Fiber acquisition, wireless value accretion, enterprise technology solutions, Bell Media as digital content powerhouse, and business transformation for cost savings.
Segment performance
Bell CTS: Postpaid net adds of 56,550 in Q4, down from prior year. Mobile phone ARPU down 2.7% but improved from Q3. Internet delivered over 34,000 new net retail subscribers. TV lost 444 net IPTV subscribers in Q4. Financials: Total revenue decreased 1.1%, wireless service revenue down 1.5%, Internet revenue up 3.4%, business solutions revenue grew 14% (6% organically), EBITDA positive, growing 0.7% to 42.9% margin. Bell Media: Digital revenues up 6% driven by Crave DTC streaming growth. Total advertising revenue increased for fourth consecutive quarter. EBITDA grew 14.2% to 20.3% margin.
Guidance
- 2025 consolidated revenue guidance: minus 3% to positive 1% for total revenue, minus 2% to positive 2% for adjusted EBITDA.
- EPS projected 8% to 13% lower than 2024.
- Free cash flow projected to increase 11% to 19% in 2025.
- CapEx budgeted at $3.4 billion for 2025, $500 million lower than last year.
- Leverage ratio focus to reduce towards target of three times adjusted EBITDA.
Risks
- Regulatory uncertainty, particularly CRTC decisions impacting fiber build and competition.
- Sustained aggressive wireless pricing and soft traditional media advertising market.
- Macro-economic pressures affecting enterprise customer spending and consumer behavior.
Q&A highlights
Q: On US fiber expansion and noncore assets including Bell Media, and dividend reassessment.
A: Bell Media's digital pivot is a growth vector. US fiber build priority is closing Ziply acquisition, with potential third-party capital for growth. Dividend reassessed based on competitive, macro, and regulatory conditions.
Q: On leverage and noncore asset sales.
A: Focus on maintaining investment-grade credit rating, reducing net leverage ratio. Noncore asset sales include MLSE and Northwestel, with $1.3 billion of additional assets to be sold.
Q: On revenue guidance and $7 billion noncore asset target.
A: Higher revenue end achievable if recent pricing changes sustain. $7 billion target includes $5.7 billion already announced, with $1.3 billion of additional non-core assets to be sold.
Q: On CapEx, CRTC decision, and towers.
A: CapEx guidance tied to regulatory decision. Towers are part of untapped telecom infrastructure value, with financial advisors retained to surface value.
Q: On DRIP program and wireless back book.
A: DRIP not intended long term, tied to balance sheet actions. Key priority is reducing churn in wireless back book.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | — | — | — | — |
| Revenue | — | — | — | — |
Transcript
February 6, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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Prior quarters
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