Anglogold Ashanti Plc
Anglogold Ashanti Plc Q2 FY2020 earnings call
August 7, 2020 · fiscal period ended 2020-06
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2020-08-07
Management highlights
Management Statement and Operational Highlights
- COVID-19 Impact: The pandemic caused temporary stoppages at some assets, but most are now back to near-normal production. COVID-19-related stoppages impacted about 85,000 ounces of production in H1, predominantly in South Africa.
- Production Performance: The Company delivered solid production, with improvement quarter-on-quarter at Sunrise Dam, Siguiri, and Cerro Vanguardia. Obuasi redevelopment project ramped up, with a 63% quarter-on-quarter increase in production despite COVID-19 delays.
- Financials: Cash flow was robust, with free cash flow before growth capital quadrupling year-on-year to $324 million. Net debt fell 18% year-on-year to $1.43 billion, and net debt-to-EBITDA was 0.67 times. All-in sustaining costs rose 3% year-on-year to $1,031 per ounce, with $52 per ounce related to COVID-19 impacts.
- ESG: Emphasized effective ESG practices, including support during the global fight against COVID-19.
Segment performance
Segment Performance
- Continental Africa: Produced 773,000 ounces in the first half of 2020 at an all-in sustaining cost of $865 per ounce. This compares to 711,000 ounces at $932 per ounce in the first half of 2019. The region generated free cash flow of $266 million during the period.
- South Africa: Produced 146,000 ounces in the first half of 2020 at an all-in sustaining cost of $1,279 per ounce. Production was lower year-on-year due to COVID-19-related lockdown regulations, but the region generated about $35 million in free cash flow.
- International Operations: Americas (Geita, Serra Grande, etc.) and Australia (Tropicana, Sunrise Dam) had varying production and cost figures, with impacts from COVID-19 and operational challenges. For example, AGA Mineracao in Brazil was 30% lower year-on-year, while Serra Grande saw production increase 50% quarter-on-quarter.
Guidance
Guidance
- Production Impact: Expect another 40,000 ounce impact in H2 2020 from COVID-19, with commensurate effect on costs.
- Capital Expenditure: Growth capital for the year remains between $280 million and $320 million, with $262 million for Obuasi redevelopment project.
- Dividend: Dividend expected to increase based on 10% of free cash flow pre-growth capital, driven by strong gold price and deleveraging. The Board is discussing potential incremental dividend increase.
Risks
Risks
- COVID-19 Disruptions: COVID-19-related stoppages impacted about 85,000 ounces of production in H1, predominantly in South Africa. Uncertainty remains around the medium-term severity of the pandemic and host government measures.
- Asset Sales and Cash Lock-up: Delays in closing asset sales (South African assets and Sadiola) and cash lock-up in DRC and Tanzania pose risks to liquidity and financial metrics.
Q&A highlights
Question and Answer
- Q: About special dividend, South Africa asset sale, and cost of converting resources to reserves.
A: Dividend is under Board discussion with focus on prudence; South Africa asset sale is in final stages with government cooperation; cost of converting resources to reserve is approximately $35-$40 per ounce.
- Q: Clarification on locked-up cash.
A: $293 million in Kibali cash, $131 million VAT in Tanzania, $71 million VAT in DRC; Barrick is working on releasing DRC cash with government engagement.
- Q: Strategy shift with CEO change.
A: Focus on business continuity during COVID-19; Board evaluating options like alternative listing but immediate focus is on navigating pandemic response; continuity in strategy execution is expected
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.63 | $0.95 | -33.7% | — |
| Revenue | $1.96B | $2.50B | -21.3% | — |
Transcript
August 7, 2020Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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