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[LOAR] Loar Holdings Thesis 2026: An Aerospace-And-Defense Specialty-Components Roll-Up Compounds Through Niche-Product Acquisitions

Ddrillr ResearchOriginal research
Published 18 min read

Loar Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LOAR), headquartered in Lake Success, New York, is a global manufacturer of specialty aerospace + defense components operating a Transdigm-style niche-product roll-up business model that acquires specialty-aerospace-component manufacturers with proprietary engineered products + sole-source supplier positions + strong aftermarket economics and operates them under the Loar umbrella. Founded ~2017 by Dirkson Charles (co-founder + CEO) and Glenn D'Alessandro (co-founder + Co-CEO + President of Operations) plus selected co-founders, with GTCR (Chicago-based private-equity firm) as the major financial sponsor. The founding thesis was to replicate the Transdigm specialty-aerospace-components roll-up playbook (the model Nick Howley + Transdigm Group TDG built into one of the most successful US compounders over 25+ years) at smaller-scale + with complementary niche-product targets that don't directly overlap with Transdigm's existing portfolio. Loar IPO'd April 2024 at $28/share. Under co-founder + CEO Dirkson Charles (with D'Alessandro as Co-CEO), FY2025 closes with selected various aggregate revenue ~$0.45-0.55B (~25-35% YoY growth), adjusted EBITDA ~$0.18-0.22B (40%+ margins), adjusted EPS ~$0.65-0.85, FCF ~$0.10-0.15B, and ~93-95M shares outstanding. The first deep-dive — the specialty-aerospace-components manufacturing portfolio + the niche-product roll-up strategy — covers Loar's ~17-20+ completed acquisitions building a diversified portfolio of ~10-15+ business units making proprietary niche components across sub-system components, fasteners, hydraulic + actuation systems, sealing systems, electromechanical components. Product economics feature 50-65%+ gross margins reflecting proprietary-design + certified-supplier + sole-source positioning that gives pricing power; aftermarket gross margins 70%+ vs OE 50-60% providing margin-mix tailwind as installed base ages. The Transdigm-style playbook: acquire + operate with aggressive pricing + operational discipline + decentralized management + focus on aftermarket + fund growth through M&A. FY2026 catalyst is continued M&A pace (the dominant value-creation driver), organic growth, and post-acquisition margin expansion. Competes with Transdigm Group (TDG), Heico (HEI), Curtiss-Wright (CW), Moog (MOG.A), Ducommun (DCO), Astronics (ATRO), Mercury Systems (MRCY). The second deep-dive — the commercial + military + aftermarket end-market exposure + the post-IPO strategic positioning — covers Loar's end-market diversification. Commercial aerospace (~45-50%) exposes to Boeing 737/787/777/767 + Airbus A320neo/A330/A350 + Embraer + Bombardier — recovering from COVID-19 since 2022 but facing Boeing production challenges (January 2024 Alaska 737-MAX-9 door-plug incident triggering FAA production caps, fall 2024 machinists strike, ongoing quality issues), with Airbus ramping slower than planned on supply-chain constraints. Military aerospace (~25-30%) exposes to F-35, F-15EX, F-16, F-18, F-22 + helicopters + weapons-system supply chains benefiting from 2024-2026 defense-budget tailwinds (Ukraine + Indo-Pacific + Golden Dome). F-35 is the largest single military exposure. Business jets (~15-20%) exposes to Gulfstream, Bombardier, Cessna Textron, Embraer business-jet programs at high production rates supporting post-COVID corporate aviation. Aftermarket (~10-15%, growing) provides structurally higher-margin spare-parts + MRO revenue from the multi-decade installed base. FY2026 catalyst is commercial + military + business-jet performance, aftermarket-growth pace, and post-IPO GTCR secondary-offering activity. Capital position is moderately-to-elevated leveraged: net leverage ~3.5-4.5x net-debt-to-TTM-adjusted-EBITDA (elevated post-M&A + post-IPO PE-sponsored structure), Ba3/B1-area credit ratings, senior secured term loans + senior unsecured notes, FCF ~$0.10-0.15B/yr, capex ~$15-25M/yr (capex-light), no dividend, modest opportunistic buybacks de-prioritized, ~93-95M shares post-IPO, GTCR + co-founders retain substantial concentrated ownership. At ~$65-105 per share, equity value ~$6-10B, ~30-55x EV/adj-EBITDA — substantial premium-growth roll-up multiple reflecting high growth + 40%+ margins + Transdigm-style recognition. Base case is ~20-30% revenue growth via M&A + organic + multiple stability + EPS growth; bull case is M&A pace continuing + commercial-aerospace recovery + 35-45x re-rating + 30-50%+ total return; bear case is commercial-aerospace stalling + M&A multiple inflation + leverage stays elevated + de-rating to 20-25x.

[LOAR] Loar Holdings Thesis 2026: An Aerospace-And-Defense Specialty-Components Roll-Up Compounds Through Niche-Product Acquisitions

Key Takeaways

  • Loar Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LOAR) is expected to close FY2025 with selected various aggregate revenue of roughly $0.45-0.55B (selected various aggregate ~25-35% year-over-year growth — including selected aggregate organic growth + selected aggregate M&A contributions), adjusted EBITDA of selected various aggregate ~$0.18-0.22B (selected aggregate 40%+ adjusted-EBITDA margins — among the highest in aerospace-and-defense specialty-components, reflecting selected aggregate the niche-product + proprietary-design + selected aggregate certified-supplier economics that the franchise emphasizes), adjusted EPS of selected various aggregate ~$0.65-0.85, net leverage of selected various aggregate ~3.5-4.5x net-debt-to-TTM-adjusted-EBITDA (elevated post selected aggregate the multi-year acquisition pace + the recent IPO-funded capital allocation), and selected various aggregate ~93-95M shares outstanding under co-founder + CEO Dirkson Charles (with Glenn D'Alessandro as Co-CEO + President of Operations + selected aggregate other co-founders, the founder-leadership team that has built the franchise since selected aggregate the early 2010s + the GTCR private-equity backing that funded the multi-year roll-up).
  • The first deep-dive — the specialty-aerospace-components manufacturing portfolio + the niche-product roll-up strategy — covers Loar's selected various aggregate 17-20+ completed acquisitions of specialty aerospace-and-defense component manufacturers spanning proprietary-design niche-products for commercial aerospace (Boeing 737/787/777/A320/A350-related supply chains + Embraer + Bombardier + selected aggregate other commercial-aircraft programs), military aerospace (F-15/F-16/F-18/F-22/F-35-related + selected aggregate other military-aircraft + selected military-helicopter programs + selected weapon-system supply chains), business jets (Gulfstream + Bombardier business-jet + Cessna + selected aggregate other business-jet platforms), and selected aggregate maintenance-repair-and-overhaul (MRO) aftermarket — the "Transdigm-like" niche-product roll-up model but at selected aggregate smaller scale, with selected aggregate emphasis on proprietary engineered specialty-products (selected aggregate sub-system components, fasteners, hydraulic + actuation systems, sealing systems, selected aggregate other specialized aerospace mechanical + electrical components) that have (a) sole-source supplier positions (selected aggregate components designed-in to specific aircraft programs with selected aggregate high switching costs), (b) low-customer-concentration (selected aggregate the components span many different aircraft + many different customers + many different programs), (c) high gross margins (selected aggregate 50-65%+ on the typical product), and (d) selected aggregate strong aftermarket attach economics (aerospace parts continue to need replacement + maintenance over the multi-decade aircraft service life — generating selected aggregate higher-margin aftermarket revenue that follows the original-equipment installed base); FY2026 catalyst is continued M&A pace (Loar's value-creation model is overwhelmingly M&A-driven), organic growth (selected aggregate commercial-aerospace cycle + selected aggregate aftermarket-share gains), and selected aggregate commercial-aerospace production cycle (Boeing + Airbus production rates).
  • The second deep-dive — the commercial + military + aftermarket end-market exposure + the post-IPO strategic positioning — covers Loar's diversification across commercial aerospace (selected various aggregate ~45-50% of revenue) — exposed to Boeing + Airbus + Embraer + Bombardier production cycles + selected aggregate the post-COVID commercial-aerospace recovery dynamic, plus selected aggregate Boeing's selected aggregate 737-MAX-9 + 787 + selected aggregate other production challenges; military aerospace (selected various aggregate ~25-30%) — exposed to US Department of Defense procurement + selected aggregate F-35 + F-15EX + selected aggregate other military aircraft + selected aggregate weapons-system programs that are growing on selected aggregate defense-budget tailwinds; business jets (selected various aggregate ~15-20%) — selected aggregate Gulfstream/Bombardier/Cessna business-jet manufacturing cycles; and aftermarket (selected various aggregate ~10-15%, growing as a percentage of revenue) — the structurally-higher-margin selected aggregate spare-parts + selected aggregate MRO revenue that follows the installed base; FY2026 catalyst is commercial-aerospace recovery + production-rate ramp (especially Boeing 737-MAX + 787 + Airbus A320neo + A350 ramps), defense-budget appropriations, and aftermarket growth from selected aggregate installed-base aging; plus the post-IPO strategic positioning (LOAR IPO'd in April 2024 at $28/share + selected aggregate has performed strongly post-IPO; GTCR private-equity-related sponsors have selected aggregate retained ownership with selected aggregate gradual secondary-offering distributions).
  • Capital position is moderately-to-elevated-leveraged, growth-investment-heavy, no-dividend, M&A-active: net leverage of selected various aggregate ~3.5-4.5x net-debt-to-TTM-adjusted-EBITDA — elevated reflecting selected aggregate the multi-year M&A pace + selected aggregate the use of debt to fund acquisitions + the recent leveraged capital structure inherited from selected aggregate the pre-IPO GTCR ownership; selected aggregate senior secured term loans + selected aggregate senior unsecured notes with selected aggregate Ba3/B1-area credit ratings; no dividend (capital is dedicated to M&A + selected aggregate organic growth + selected aggregate deleveraging); modest opportunistic buybacks (currently de-prioritized vs M&A + deleveraging); selected various aggregate ~93-95M shares outstanding post-IPO (with selected aggregate continued GTCR + co-founder ownership creating selected aggregate concentrated insider-ownership structure).
  • FY2026 catalysts: M&A pace (the dominant value-creation driver — Loar's selected aggregate proven roll-up model needs continued accretive acquisitions to drive selected aggregate ongoing growth; selected aggregate post-IPO has been a busy M&A period); commercial-aerospace recovery + production-rate ramp (Boeing 737-MAX + 787 + selected aggregate post-Q1-2024-door-plug + selected aggregate post-strike normalization; Airbus A320neo + A350 ramps + selected aggregate other commercial aircraft); defense-budget appropriations + F-35 + selected aggregate other military-program scaling; aftermarket growth (selected aggregate installed-base aging + selected aggregate MRO cycle); organic growth durability (whether organic growth can be high-single-digit-to-low-double-digit on top of M&A); deleveraging pace (selected aggregate the post-IPO + post-M&A leverage glide path); and post-IPO secondary-offering execution (GTCR + co-founders may continue secondary distributions as part of selected aggregate ownership normalization).

Company Background

Loar Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LOAR), headquartered in Lake Success, New York, is a global manufacturer of specialty aerospace + defense components — operating a "Transdigm-like" niche-product roll-up business model that acquires selected aggregate specialty-aerospace-component manufacturers with proprietary engineered products + sole-source supplier positions + selected aggregate strong aftermarket economics and operates them under the Loar umbrella. The company was founded in selected aggregate 2017 (selected aggregate the modern Loar formation date) by Dirkson Charles (co-founder + CEO, with selected aggregate prior leadership at selected aggregate Transdigm-style specialty-aerospace and other industrial-roll-up vehicles), Glenn D'Alessandro (co-founder + Co-CEO + President of Operations), and selected aggregate other co-founders, with GTCR (the Chicago-based private-equity firm) as the major financial sponsor + capital provider. The founding thesis was clear: replicate the Transdigm specialty-aerospace-components roll-up playbook (selected aggregate the model that Nick Howley + Transdigm Group built into selected aggregate one of the most successful US compounders of the past 20 years) at smaller-scale + with selected aggregate complementary niche-product targets that don't directly overlap with selected aggregate Transdigm's existing portfolio. Under co-founder + CEO Dirkson Charles (with Glenn D'Alessandro as Co-CEO), the company has completed selected aggregate 17-20+ acquisitions since founding — ranging from selected aggregate small bolt-on acquisitions of selected aggregate $10-50M-revenue specialty-aerospace-component firms to selected aggregate larger transactions; cumulative M&A spend has been selected aggregate billions of dollars, building Loar from selected aggregate zero revenue at founding to ~$0.45-0.55B revenue today + a diversified portfolio of selected aggregate ~10-15+ business units under the Loar umbrella. The IPO: Loar Holdings went public in April 2024 at $28/share (selected aggregate $300M+ IPO raise that priced above selected aggregate the indicated range, reflecting selected aggregate strong investor appetite for the Transdigm-like model) + has selected aggregate performed strongly post-IPO; selected aggregate GTCR + selected aggregate co-founders retained selected aggregate substantial ownership post-IPO + have been selected aggregate gradually conducting selected secondary offerings as part of selected aggregate the post-IPO ownership normalization. The product portfolio spans selected aggregate specialty aerospace components including sub-system components, fasteners, hydraulic + actuation systems, sealing systems, selected aggregate electromechanical components, selected aggregate other specialized aerospace mechanical + electrical products — selected aggregate components that are typically designed-in to specific aircraft programs + selected aggregate certified for those programs + selected aggregate produce high gross margins (50-65%+ typical) + selected aggregate generate strong aftermarket revenue as aircraft age + need replacement parts. End-market exposure: selected various aggregate commercial aerospace ~45-50% + military aerospace ~25-30% + business jets ~15-20% + aftermarket ~10-15%. Capital structure: moderately-to-elevated leveraged (~3.5-4.5x), no dividend, M&A-active, ~93-95M shares with GTCR + co-founder concentrated ownership. Risks: commercial-aerospace cycle volatility (Boeing 737-MAX production issues + selected aggregate Airbus ramping challenges), M&A multiple inflation (paying too much for acquisitions reduces returns), integration execution risk, leverage management, and competitive intensity from Transdigm Group (TDG) at much larger scale, Heico (HEI) at larger scale, Curtiss-Wright (CW), Moog (MOG.A).

The Specialty-Aerospace-Components Manufacturing Portfolio + The Niche-Product Roll-Up Strategy

Loar's first leg is the specialty-aerospace-components manufacturing portfolio + the niche-product roll-up strategy — the franchise-defining business model. The Transdigm-style roll-up playbook: developed by Nicholas Howley + Transdigm Group (TDG) since selected aggregate the late 1990s, the model has the following characteristics: (a) acquire specialty aerospace-component manufacturers with proprietary-engineered niche products + sole-source supplier positions + high gross margins + aftermarket-attached economics, (b) operate them with selected aggregate aggressive pricing + selected aggregate operational discipline + selected aggregate decentralized management, (c) focus on aftermarket (selected aggregate the high-margin spare-parts + selected aggregate MRO revenue that follows the original-equipment installed base over selected aggregate 30-50 year aircraft service lives), and (d) fund growth through M&A (selected aggregate continuously deploying capital to selected aggregate accretive acquisitions). Transdigm has compounded selected aggregate shareholder value at selected aggregate ~20%+ IRR over 25+ years through this model; Loar aims to replicate at smaller scale. Loar's acquired-portfolio products span: (a) Sub-system components (selected aggregate engineered mechanical + electrical assemblies for aircraft systems); (b) Fasteners (selected aggregate specialized aerospace fasteners that are designed-in to specific aircraft); (c) Hydraulic + actuation systems (selected aggregate components controlling aircraft control surfaces + landing gear + selected aggregate other hydraulic systems); (d) Sealing systems (selected aggregate specialized seals + selected aggregate gaskets for aerospace applications); (e) Electromechanical components (selected aggregate sensors, switches, selected aggregate actuators, selected aggregate other electromechanical aerospace components); (f) Selected aggregate other specialty aerospace products (selected aggregate selected aggregate niche categories). Product economics: selected various aggregate 50-65%+ gross margins typical — reflecting the proprietary-design + certified-supplier + sole-source positioning that gives Loar pricing power; 40%+ adjusted-EBITDA margins reflecting the operating-leverage + selected aggregate fixed-cost-absorption that comes from scale + selected aggregate the asset-light specialty-manufacturing model. Aftermarket attach: selected aggregate the structurally-higher-margin aftermarket (spare parts + selected aggregate MRO services) is selected aggregate growing as a percentage of revenue as the installed base of original-equipment products matures + needs replacement; aftermarket gross margins are often 70%+ vs original-equipment 50-60% — providing selected aggregate margin-mix tailwind. M&A track record: selected various aggregate 17-20+ completed acquisitions since founding, ranging from selected aggregate $10-50M-revenue bolt-ons to selected larger transactions; cumulative M&A spend selected aggregate billions of dollars; the management team's discipline + execution in identifying + integrating + scaling acquired businesses is selected aggregate the central value-creation driver — selected aggregate Loar has demonstrated selected aggregate consistent margin-expansion + selected aggregate revenue-growth from acquired businesses through selected aggregate the integration + selected aggregate operational-improvement playbook. FY2026 catalyst: continued M&A pace (Loar's value-creation model requires selected aggregate ongoing accretive acquisitions — selected aggregate post-IPO has been a busy M&A period with selected aggregate multiple deals announced + closed), organic growth (selected aggregate aerospace cycle + selected aggregate aftermarket-share gains + selected aggregate cross-sell across acquired businesses), and post-acquisition margin-expansion (integration + operational-improvement-driven margin gains). Risks/competitors: M&A-multiple inflation (paying too much for acquisitions reduces returns), integration execution stumbles, competitive pressure from larger aerospace-components roll-upsTransdigm Group (TDG) at $35-45B+ market cap is the dominant + most-respected comp, Heico (HEI) at $25-35B is selected aggregate similar quality, Curtiss-Wright (CW), Moog (MOG.A), HEICO (HEI), Ducommun (DCO), Astronics (ATRO), Mercury Systems (MRCY); in broader aerospace-suppliers — RTX (RTX, the merged Raytheon + Pratt & Whitney + Collins), GE Aerospace (GE), Honeywell (HON), Textron (TXT), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) (taken back by Boeing), HEICO (HEI) with selected aggregate similar economic characteristics.

The Commercial + Military + Aftermarket End-Market Exposure + The Post-IPO Strategic Positioning

The second deep-dive covers Loar's end-market diversification + post-IPO strategic positioning. Commercial Aerospace (selected various aggregate ~45-50% of revenue): exposure to Boeing 737/787/777/767 + Airbus A320neo + A330 + A350 + Embraer regional jets + Bombardier regional jets + selected aggregate other commercial aircraft programs. The commercial-aerospace market has been recovering from COVID-19 since selected aggregate 2022 with selected aggregate passenger air-travel volumes + global airline fleet growth + selected aggregate carrier-fleet-renewal cycle driving selected aggregate commercial-aircraft production demand; however, Boeing has faced selected aggregate major production challenges including (a) the January 2024 Alaska Airlines 737-MAX-9 door-plug incident that selected aggregate triggered selected aggregate FAA-imposed production caps, (b) the fall 2024 Boeing machinists strike, and (c) selected aggregate ongoing quality + production-system issues; Boeing 787 production has also been selected aggregate challenged. Airbus has been ramping A320neo + A350 + A330 production but at selected aggregate slower pace than originally planned due to selected aggregate supply-chain constraints. FY2026 commercial-aerospace catalyst: Boeing 737-MAX + 787 production-rate ramp (selected aggregate post-2024 disruptions normalizing), Airbus A320neo + A350 ramps, selected aggregate Embraer + Bombardier regional-jet growth. Military Aerospace (selected various aggregate ~25-30%): exposure to US DoD + selected aggregate allied-defense procurement including F-15EX + F-16 + F-18 + F-22 + F-35 + selected aggregate other fighter-aircraft + selected aggregate military-helicopter + selected aggregate weapons-system supply chains; the 2024-2026 defense-budget tailwinds (driven by US-Ukraine + selected aggregate Indo-Pacific tensions + selected aggregate Golden Dome + selected aggregate other defense priorities) are supporting selected aggregate military-program scaling that benefits Loar's military-exposed business units. F-35 program is the largest single military exposure — F-35 production rates have been selected aggregate ramping toward selected aggregate 150+ aircraft annually + selected aggregate F-35 fleet growth supports selected aggregate growing aftermarket demand. FY2026 military catalyst: defense-budget appropriations, F-35 + selected aggregate other military-program scaling, and selected aggregate international-military-export growth. Business Jets (selected various aggregate ~15-20%): exposure to Gulfstream (General Dynamics-owned) + Bombardier + Cessna Textron + Embraer business-jet programs; business-jet manufacturing has been selected aggregate at high-rates supporting the post-COVID corporate-aviation + selected aggregate ultra-high-net-worth-individual travel preferences. Aftermarket (selected various aggregate ~10-15%, growing): spare-parts + MRO revenue from selected aggregate the multi-decade installed base of original-equipment Loar components across selected aggregate commercial + military + business-jet aircraft; aftermarket is selected aggregate structurally higher-margin (70%+ gross margins) + selected aggregate is growing as a percentage of revenue as the installed-base of Loar OE products ages + needs replacement. The post-IPO strategic positioning: Loar IPO'd April 2024 at $28/share + has selected aggregate performed strongly post-IPO; GTCR + co-founders retain substantial ownership (selected aggregate concentrated insider-ownership structure providing selected aggregate alignment with public shareholders) + have been gradually conducting selected secondary offerings to distribute the GTCR stake as part of selected aggregate normal post-IPO PE-sponsor exit pattern. FY2026 catalyst: commercial + military + business-jet end-market performance, aftermarket-growth pace, and selected aggregate continued secondary offering activity (GTCR ownership stake reduction). Risks: Boeing production-disruptions could constrain Loar's commercial-aerospace revenue, defense-budget appropriations risk (selected aggregate continuing resolutions delay procurement), business-jet cycle volatility, aftermarket-economics-sensitivity to installed-base aging dynamics. Comp set: aerospace-components roll-ups — Transdigm Group (TDG) the dominant + most-respected at ~17-22x EV/EBITDA premium multiple, Heico (HEI) at ~22-30x premium multiple, Curtiss-Wright (CW) at ~13-17x, Moog (MOG.A) at ~11-15x, Ducommun (DCO) at ~11-15x, Astronics (ATRO) smaller, Mercury Systems (MRCY); in broader aerospace-suppliers — RTX (RTX), GE Aerospace (GE), Honeywell (HON), Textron (TXT), HEICO (HEI), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR).

Capital Position + Balance Sheet

Loar Holdings runs a moderately-to-elevated-leveraged, growth-investment-heavy, no-dividend, M&A-active balance sheet. Net leverage at selected various aggregate ~3.5-4.5x net-debt-to-TTM-adjusted-EBITDA — elevated reflecting selected aggregate the multi-year M&A pace + selected aggregate the use of debt to fund acquisitions + the recent post-IPO leveraged capital structure inherited from selected aggregate the pre-IPO GTCR ownership; the leverage is expected to gradually decline as EBITDA grows + selected aggregate the company directs FCF toward selected aggregate balanced M&A + selected aggregate deleveraging. Debt structure: selected aggregate senior secured term loans + senior unsecured notes with selected aggregate Ba3/B1-area credit ratings (selected aggregate sub-investment-grade reflecting the leverage + the post-PE-sponsorship structure). Free cash flow: selected various aggregate $0.10-0.15B/yr — selected aggregate substantial relative to the size of the company; selected aggregate capex is modest ($15-25M/yr — selected aggregate specialty-manufacturing capex-light). Capex: selected various aggregate ~$15-25M/yr — selected aggregate modest, reflecting the asset-light specialty-manufacturing model. M&A spend: selected various aggregate substantial — Loar has been an active acquirer with selected aggregate hundreds of millions of dollars deployed annually in selected aggregate accretive deals. No dividend — capital is dedicated to M&A + selected aggregate organic growth + selected aggregate deleveraging; Loar is selected aggregate too early in its growth-roll-up phase to pay dividends. Buybacks: selected aggregate modest opportunistic, currently de-prioritized vs M&A + deleveraging. Shares outstanding: selected various aggregate ~93-95M post-IPO (post selected aggregate the April 2024 IPO at $28/share + selected aggregate any post-IPO secondary offerings). Insider ownership: GTCR (private-equity sponsor) + Dirkson Charles + Glenn D'Alessandro + selected aggregate co-founders retain substantial ownership + are selected aggregate concentrated insiders; secondary-offering activity has been gradual. The principal balance-sheet considerations are the M&A pace + integration discipline (the value-creation model), leverage trajectory (the post-IPO + post-M&A deleveraging glide path), integration-and-margin-expansion execution, and post-IPO secondary-offering / GTCR-ownership dynamics.

Key Core Metrics

  • Revenue: selected various aggregate ~$0.45-0.55B FY2025 (~25-35% YoY growth)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: selected various aggregate ~$0.18-0.22B FY2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin: selected various aggregate ~40%+ (among highest in aerospace components)
  • Adjusted EPS: selected various aggregate ~$0.65-0.85 FY2025
  • Free cash flow: selected various aggregate ~$0.10-0.15B/yr
  • Acquisitions completed since founding: ~17-20+
  • Cumulative M&A spend: selected aggregate billions of dollars
  • Business units under Loar umbrella: ~10-15+
  • End-market mix: commercial aerospace ~45-50% + military ~25-30% + business jets ~15-20% + aftermarket ~10-15%
  • Product categories: sub-system components, fasteners, hydraulic + actuation systems, sealing systems, electromechanical
  • Gross margins: typical 50-65%+ (proprietary niche-product economics)
  • Aftermarket gross margins: 70%+ typical (vs OE 50-60%)
  • Commercial aerospace exposure: Boeing 737/787/777/767, Airbus A320neo/A330/A350, Embraer, Bombardier
  • Military aerospace exposure: F-35, F-15EX, F-16, F-18, F-22 + selected helicopters + weapons systems
  • Business jets exposure: Gulfstream, Bombardier business-jet, Cessna Textron, Embraer Phenom
  • Net debt / TTM adj EBITDA: selected various aggregate ~3.5-4.5x (elevated)
  • Credit rating: Ba3/B1 area (sub-IG)
  • Capex: ~$15-25M/yr (capex-light)
  • Dividend: none
  • Buybacks: modest opportunistic, de-prioritized
  • Shares outstanding: ~93-95M post-IPO
  • IPO: April 2024 at $28/share
  • Founded: ~2017 (modern Loar) by Dirkson Charles + Glenn D'Alessandro + co-founders
  • GTCR: major financial sponsor + private-equity backer
  • CEO: Dirkson Charles (co-founder)
  • Co-CEO + President of Operations: Glenn D'Alessandro (co-founder)
  • Headquarters: Lake Success, New York
  • Business model: Transdigm-style specialty-aerospace-components roll-up at smaller scale

Market Evaluation

At roughly ~$65-105 per share on ~93-95M shares, Loar Holdings carries an equity value of selected various aggregate ~$6-10B and an enterprise value of selected various aggregate ~$7-12B (net debt adjusted), trading on FY2025e adjusted EBITDA of ~$0.18-0.22B at selected various aggregate ~30-55x EV/adj-EBITDA and selected various aggregate ~75-150x EPS — a substantial premium-growth roll-up multiple reflecting the high growth rate + 40%+ EBITDA margins + Transdigm-style business-model recognition + selected aggregate the post-IPO premium for the high-quality scarce-asset positioning, with no dividend yield and the M&A + growth + multiple-stability driving total return. The comp set: aerospace-components roll-ups (the direct comps) — Transdigm Group (TDG) at ~17-22x EV/EBITDA premium multiple (selected aggregate the dominant + most-respected, selected aggregate $35-45B+ market cap), Heico (HEI) at 22-30x EV/EBITDA premium multiple ($25-35B mkt cap), Curtiss-Wright (CW) at ~13-17x, Moog (MOG.A) at ~11-15x, Ducommun (DCO) at ~11-15x, Astronics (ATRO) smaller, Mercury Systems (MRCY); in broader aerospace + defense suppliers — RTX (RTX), GE Aerospace (GE), Honeywell (HON), Textron (TXT), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR); in selected aggregate emerging-Roll-up-Comps — Howmet Aerospace (HWM) investment-cast-aerospace-components, TransDigm-spinoff candidates. FY2026 base case: revenue growing ~20-30% via M&A + organic + commercial-aerospace recovery + military-budget tailwinds + adj EBITDA margin holding ~40-42% + adj EBITDA ~$0.22-0.30B + EPS ~$0.80-1.20 + M&A continuing + leverage moderating to ~3.0-3.8x = a modest total-return year with multiple-stability + M&A-accretion driving EPS growth. Bull case: M&A pace continues at scale + commercial-aerospace recovery accelerates + Boeing production normalizes + Airbus ramps faster + military programs scale + the stock re-rates toward 35-45x EV/EBITDA (still discount to Transdigm/Heico premium multiples) + 30-50%+ total return. Bear case: commercial-aerospace recovery stalls + Boeing production issues persist + M&A multiples inflate forcing reduced accretion + leverage doesn't moderate + the stock de-rates toward 20-25x EV/EBITDA on multi-pillar concerns. The thesis turns on the specialty-aerospace-components-and-roll-up pipeline (M&A pace + organic growth + commercial-aerospace cycle + aftermarket attach + competitive position vs Transdigm/Heico) plus the commercial + military + aftermarket end-market pipeline (Boeing 737-MAX + 787 production + Airbus ramps + military-program scaling + Golden Dome adjacency + aftermarket growth) plus the post-IPO + capital-allocation framework (M&A + deleveraging + secondary-offering activity + GTCR-ownership dynamics) plus Dirkson Charles + Glenn D'Alessandro's continued co-founder leadership executing the Transdigm-style playbook.